Betting ideas for second leg of spherical of sixteen

The UEFA Champions League spherical of sixteen continues with the second legs of 4 matchups occurring on Tuesday and Wednesday, after which period the quarterfinals draw will happen.

With all that in thoughts, let’s get to this week’s video games. As always, preserve in thoughts that these bets are for outcomes on the tip of regulation solely.

Odds courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook


FC Porto (+a hundred and seventy), Inter Milan (+one hundred sixty), Draw (+230)
(Inter leads combination 1-zero)

Inter Milan took the major matchup 1-zero and is a slight favourite over Porto. Who do you see worthwhile this match and who do you see advancing to the quarters?

Paul Carr: inside the major leg, Porto had greater probabilities than Inter (1.7 anticipated goals to Inter’s zero.7) till Otavio‘s 78th-minute pink card. His absence from this recreation makes me hesitate a bit on choosing Porto, however Inter’s season-prolonged inconsistency and Porto’s power at house (14 wins and three losses this season) are enough to persuade me. Porto beat each Atletico Madrid and Bayer Leverkusen at house inside the group stage, and that i really feel they will do it as quickly as extra. i am going to take Porto to win in ninety minutes (+a hundred and seventy), and i do not hate Porto to advance (+275) both.

Man metropolis (-270), Leipzig (+seven hundred), Draw (+380)
(Tied 1-1)

the major leg was 1-1, however Man metropolis is a heavy favourite right here vs. Leipzig. Do you see them backing that up or is a important upset in retailer?

Carr: RB Leipzig bottled up the particular person metropolis assault comparatively properly inside the major leg, conceding 12 pictures and 1.2 anticipated goals, each amongst metropolis’s fewest in a recreation this season. Leipzig even have solely two losses in 24 video games since October, and each losses have been by a single aim, so having fun with Leipzig +1.5 (-one hundred twenty five) is variety of interesting. nonetheless, extreme scorer Christopher Nkuku (thigh) and defensive midfielder Xaver Schlager (ankle) are each out of this second leg, making it tough to see Leipzig both sustaining with metropolis or holding Pep Guardiola’s side at bay. metropolis house video games have meant goals all season, with sixteen of 20 matches having no decrease than three goals, and a dozen of them having 4 or extra. i am going to take over three goals at even money.


Napoli (-210), Frankfurt (+575), Draw (+325)

Frankfurt is chasing two goals right here with Napoli better than a 2-1 favourite in leg 2. Who do you want right here?

Carr: Napoli have by no means made the eu Cup quarterfinals, however they’re priced at -15000 to take movement now. Napoli dominated the major leg with 70 % possession, outshooting Eintracht Frankfurt 18 to 5, with 2.9 anticipated goals to Frankfurt’s zero.5. I see no purpose for this second leg to be utterly different, particularly with Frankfurt’s extreme scorer, Randal Kolo Muani, suspended after his first-leg pink card. Napoli can have their full squad obtainable, having gained 14 of 17 house video games this season, with the anticipated-goals benefit in all 17 video games. i would pretty get a better worth in any case, however even the juicy -210 quantity will not be enough to protect me from having fun with Napoli to win this match and emphatically advance to the quarters.

exact Madrid (+a hundred thirty), Liverpool (+one hundred eighty), Draw (+270)
(exact Madrid leads 5-2)

The defending cup holders took the major leg of the 2022 ultimate rematch 5-2. How do you see leg 2 being performed with such an limitless lead in combination?

Carr: inside the Champions League period, no workforce has superior after shedding the major leg by three goals at house. Liverpool will impossible be the major membership to take movement, since exact Madrid would advance even with a two-aim loss. on account of that, something seems potential on this match, very akin to the major leg. i am staying away from a outcome, however exact Madrid ought to as quickly as extra have an unimaginable deal of probabilities as Liverpool pushes for goals. exact Madrid thrive on the counter, and in addition they’ve scored no decrease than twice in 12 of 17 house video games this season, with no decrease than anticipated goals in 10 of these matches. mix that with a Liverpool that additionally has offensive firepower, and i am going to play over three goals at -one hundred ten.

Former ESPN senior researcher Paul Carr is director of content material for TruMedia.


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