2023 large Bowl - QB and RB prop bets, picks, odds, and strategies

large Bowl LVII is simply over per week away and now may be the proper time to get forward on the complete bets that can coming in up till kickoff from State Farm Stadium in Phoenix at 6:30 p.m. ET. a lot of the sport would possibly come proper down to the performances of the star QBs and featured RBs on the Kansas metropolis Chiefs and Philadelphia Eagles. Patrick Mahomes threw for 326 yards and two touchdowns inside the Chiefs win over the Bengals inside the AFC Championship recreation whereas Jalen Hurts had 121 yards by the air and 39 yards on the underside with one dashing touchdown inside the Eagles’ victory inside the NFC Championship recreation.

Can each QBs repeat their success inside the large Bowl and the method will the working backs situation into the gameplan? Our betting analysts have gotten you coated with the whole lot you’ve acquired to get hold of out about QB and RB props for the large recreation.

All odds courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook

Quarterback props

Patrick Mahomes, the seemingly league MVP, goes for his second large Bowl title, whereas Jalen Hurts tries to cap off a magical season collectively with his first. taking a take a look on the board, which is your favourite large Bowl prop for the two QBs?

Doug Kezirian: it is a fascinating matchup on so many fronts and thus, I discover it tough to unlock worth on the generic props. The market is pretty tight on these passing yard props however I do think about that Mahomes’ damage gives some alternative. he is 20-1 to discover the sport’s first touchdown. For these new to this space, he should run or catch the TD with the intention to money the wager. Given his ankle could have two extra weeks of relaxation and remedy and adrenaline may be flowing, i really feel that is a very good worth. you most likely may recall he ran for the major rating in his lone large Bowl win.

Tyler Fulghum: The Chiefs function as a slight cross-funnel protection, so I anticipate Nick Sirianni and the Eagles to lean into the passing recreation. I additionally anticipate Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs to maintain it aggressive for 4 quarters, in distinction to the Giants and 49ers did all by the NFC postseason. My favourite QB prop is Jalen Hurts over 31.5 passing makes an try. each A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith ought to have important matchup advantages in opposition to a youthful KC secondary which will additionally now be lacking CB L’Jarius Sneed for the large Bowl. I anticipate the Eagles to aggressively test that matchup with their superior receivers.

Erin Dolan: Jalen Hurts to throw a TD cross inside the major quarter (+215). The Eagles scored a league-extreme sixty two factors on opening drives inside the common season and have scored a spot drive touchdown in every playoff recreation up to now. it is an large purpose why they led on a league-extreme sixty two% of recreation-time this season. in opposition to the Giants, Hurts threw a cross to Devonta Smith inside the opening quarter. He did not have a passing touchdown in opposition to the 49ers inside the NFC Championship recreation, Chiefs secondary has been getting burnt all by the common season and playoffs. I simply like the worth right here at +215, particularly with a recreation complete sitting a 50.5.

Aaron Schatz: Jalen Hurts solely threw six interceptions this yr. nonetheless, a elevated information to interceptions is to take a take a look at passes defensed. usually, about 20% of passes defensed flip into interceptions. This yr, it was solely 14% for the Eagles offense … and solely 14% for the Chiefs protection. These numbers counsel that the potentialities of a Hurts choose are in all probability elevated than the regular interception numbers level out. So i am going to take the optimistic odds and go along with Jalen Hurts over zero.5 interceptions (+a hundred and ten).

Eric Moody: Mahomes’ passing skill has been an infinite situation inside the Chiefs’ success and that i do not anticipate them to range path this time round. inside the common season and playoffs this season, he has averaged 37.9 passing makes an try and 303.7 passing yards per recreation. You may be questioning how Mahomes has carried out as a passer in his two large Bowl appearances. He threw for 286 yards and 270 yards. In these two video games, Mahomes relied closely on Travis Kelce. That progress ought to proceed in opposition to the Eagles. Head coach Andy Reid will discover weaknesses in Philadelphia’s secondary with two weeks to rearrange. Over 288.5 cross yards.

working again props

Which participant do you suppose will go over or underneath their dashing complete this week?

Kezirian: i might solely play Pacheco, and that i might solely play his mixed yards. he is been the featured again, however usually he is catching balls. clearly, Mahomes’ ankle is a variable so there’s an alternative he dumps it off to Pacheco extra usually than he usually would. Pacheco additionally has the large-play availability and seemingly is shot out of a cannon. So i might take over sixty 4.5 mixed yards.

Fulghum: i used to be shocked that Isiah Pacheco outsnapped Jerick McKinnon 39-27 inside the AFC title recreation. With Patrick Mahomes on a gimpy ankle, I think about Andy Reid will lean into extra McKinnon as he is the superior cross protector and receiver out of the backfield. Pacheco rewarded Reid’s notion in him with eighty five yards of offense on 15 touches. He was explosive and efficient. in the meantime, McKinnon — who seemingly acquired lots of of us a fantasy soccer championship collectively with his manufacturing in December — has fallen off inside the postseason. he is rushed 15 instances for simply 26 in two playoff video games and has hauled in simply two passes for 17 yards. Since Week 15, McKinnon has managed simply forty three dashing yards on 24 carries. i really feel the Chiefs are going to proceed to journey Pacheco on the underside, so I like Jerick McKinnon underneath 22.5 dashing yards.

Schatz: large video games by opposing working backs have been the connecting string by rather a lot of the Eagles’ lesser performances this season. So, i am going to guess that the Chiefs will stick to the underside recreation elevated than they usually do, figuring out that is the Eagles’ (relative) weak point. Give me Isiah Pacheco over forty nine.5 dashing yards. i am staying away from the mixed dashing-receiving complete as a outcome of whereas the Eagles allowed a extreme DVOA to working backs, they did not permit pretty simply a few receiving yards.

Dolan: Kenneth Gainwell underneath 19.5 dashing yards. He crushed this quantity this submit season with 112 dashing yards in opposition to the Giants and forty eight dashing yards in opposition to the 49ers. maintain in thoughts the Eagles outscored these opponents sixty nine-14. That was why he acquired rather a lot movement this postseason. I think about that Hurts and agency will rely upon the passing recreation as that is the Chiefs weak point on protection. ought to the Eagles lean on the run recreation, I think about they will give the ball to Miles Sanders.

Moody: I agree with Doug about taking half in Pacheco over dashing + receiving yards. The Chiefs offense has relied extra on him as a receiver out of the backfield up to now inside the playoffs. In Pacheco’s two playoff video games, he caught six of seven targets for sixty five yards collectively with 121 dashing yards on 22 makes an try. He’ll proceed to be closely involved in opposition to the Eagles. The Chiefs offensive line in opposition to the Eagles defensive place intrigues me. An offensive line’s efficiency impacts the complete offense of a staff. amongst the numerous issues I seen regarding the Chiefs’ offensive line is that they do not permit their working backs to be tackled behind the road of scrimmage. With Joe Thuney, Trey Smith and Creed Humphrey on the inside, Kansas metropolis has a extreme benefit. as a outcome of the Chiefs try to decelerate the Eagles cross rush, they will look to use this benefit inside the working recreation. Pacheco over sixty 4.5 dashing + receiving yards.


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